Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.002387 0.002527 0.002675 0.002847 0.003040 0.003252 0.003505
2025-04-06 0.002126 0.002309 0.002513 0.002763 0.003062 0.003418 0.003880
2025-04-13 0.001968 0.002176 0.002419 0.002727 0.003119 0.003613 0.004311
2025-04-20 0.001792 0.002004 0.002255 0.002583 0.003013 0.003579 0.004426
2025-04-27 0.001715 0.001940 0.002213 0.002580 0.003081 0.003775 0.004891
2025-05-04 0.001678 0.001920 0.002222 0.002641 0.003236 0.004110 0.005644
2025-05-11 0.001621 0.001871 0.002188 0.002638 0.003299 0.004315 0.006241
2025-05-18 0.001600 0.001865 0.002208 0.002708 0.003474 0.004724 0.007358
2025-05-25 0.001550 0.001818 0.002169 0.002691 0.003511 0.004907 0.008090
2025-06-01 0.001495 0.001761 0.002113 0.002644 0.003494 0.004988 0.008624
2025-06-08 0.001477 0.001753 0.002124 0.002697 0.003645 0.005411 0.010283
2025-06-15 0.001453 0.001735 0.002120 0.002724 0.003755 0.005778 0.012111
2025-06-22 0.001410 0.001691 0.002078 0.002694 0.003769 0.005965 0.013618
2025-06-29 0.001358 0.001633 0.002013 0.002623 0.003702 0.005961 0.014405
2025-07-06 0.001321 0.001594 0.001975 0.002593 0.003708 0.006130 0.016282
2025-07-13 0.001258 0.001517 0.001878 0.002462 0.003511 0.005774 0.015032
2025-07-20 0.001234 0.001494 0.001860 0.002459 0.003561 0.006042 0.017800
2025-07-27 0.001227 0.001495 0.001876 0.002515 0.003729 0.006670 0.025327
2025-08-03 0.001206 0.001474 0.001859 0.002513 0.003782 0.007000 0.032804
2025-08-10 0.001202 0.001478 0.001880 0.002577 0.003981 0.007861 0.065680
2025-08-17 0.001180 0.001455 0.001857 0.002561 0.004006 0.008166 0.109272
2025-08-24 0.001152 0.001423 0.001820 0.002518 0.003964 0.008225 0.161635
2025-08-31 0.001147 0.001423 0.001833 0.002566 0.004137 0.009183 NaN